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Violence, Ambiguity, and the Engineering of Narratives in Iran’s Protests 

by Helia Rahbari
February 4, 2026
in Opinion
Reading Time: 5 mins read
0
Undeclared Martial Law in Tehran: Propaganda, Curfew, and the Architecture of Bloody Repression

Edward Said, in his book Orientalism, examines the decisive role of narratives in  structures of power. In his view—particularly in the realm of media—power belongs  to those who are able to impose their own narrative as the dominant one. In the age  of media wars, social networks, artificial intelligence, and fake accounts, narratives  are abundant while truth is scarce. An avalanche of images, statistics, and conflicting  stories increasingly blurs the line between reality and propaganda, making the task  of discerning truth more difficult for the public than ever before. 

Images and reports emerging from Iran point to an unprecedented level of violence  and repression. The scenes are shocking, the number of casualties is high, and  access to verified information grows more difficult by the day. Under such conditions,  not only is the exact number of victims unclear, but the persistence of this ambiguity  appears deliberate and may remain unresolved for a long time. 

The Iranian authorities describe the protests as “engineered” and the product of U.S.  and Mossad interference—an accusation that has been repeatedly and casually  leveled against political opponents over the past forty-seven years. At the same time,  vastly different figures regarding the number of those killed circulate in media outlets  and across social networks. The government has published the names of fewer than  three thousand people in official newspapers, a figure that does not correspond with  field observations or eyewitness testimonies coming from inside Iran. In contrast, various individuals and groups cite much higher numbers, ranging from 12,000 to as  many as 500,000. 

This statistical ambiguity has itself become a new battlefield of competing narratives.  Some of these figures are used as tools to justify a potential U.S. or Israeli military  attack on Iran. Arguments frequently seen on social media claim that “the Islamic  Republic killed more of its own citizens in two days than Israel killed in Gaza in two  years; therefore, the cost of an Israeli or American military strike is lower than the  cost of the Islamic Republic’s survival.” Such claims are not only statistically false and  logically fallacious—given that Israel has killed far more people than it officially  acknowledges and is actively erasing the traces of what amounts to genocide—but  they also demonstrate how internal repression is repurposed to prepare public  opinion for foreign intervention. 

In this context, the role of major Persian-language media outlets based outside Iran  has become highly controversial. Media organizations such as Iran International and  BBC Persian have been accused of selectively amplifying certain slogans to portray  an exaggerated level of popularity for Reza Pahlavi—who maintains close relations  with Israel and has openly called for military action against Iran. This narrative does  not align with field data or independent research. 

In an analytical report, the French newspaper Le Figaro examined coordinated online  networks and highlighted the role of fake accounts and organized digital operations

in promoting specific political figures within the Iranian opposition. Many of these  accounts were created in 2023, remained dormant, and became active only in 2025  with the onset of protests. The report shows how mass, synchronized reposting  produces a distorted image of popular support. Another Le Figaro report, drawing on  research by Social Forensics, identifies thousands of fake accounts and AI-generated  activities used to boost Reza Pahlavi’s visibility on social media, including more than  4,765 active fake accounts and manipulated datasets. These findings align with a  Haaretz investigation published in October 2025, which revealed that Israel has been  waging an influence campaign portraying Reza Pahlavi as a popular leader inside  Iran. 

This article does not aim to provide definitive answers regarding the exact number of  those killed or the true extent of Reza Pahlavi’s popularity. Pahlavi is a 67-year-old  man who has lived in exile for forty-seven years and is the son of a monarch who  was forced out of Iran once during the nationalization of the oil industry in 1953 and  again in 1979 following the revolution. From a legal standpoint, he does not hold the  title of “prince,” as the constitution that designated his father as king and him as  crown prince was abolished in the 1979 referendum, rendering all royal titles legally  void. 

Establishing the truth is the responsibility of time and independent fact-finding  commissions. What is crucial in the meantime is to grasp the complexity of the  situation in Iran. On one hand, there is an authoritarian regime that has made  ordinary life nearly impossible for millions through political repression, runaway 

inflation, and destructive economic policies. In response to legitimate protests, the  state has reacted brutally, killing thousands of civilians and detaining tens of  thousands more. On the other hand, there are clear signs and growing evidence of  foreign intervention, particularly by Israel, trying to manipulate these protests. 

This dual reality underscores a tragic paradox: while Iranians are risking their lives to  demand basic rights and freedoms, their struggle is being exploited by external  powers seeking to advance geopolitical objectives. Any attempt to understand the  situation without recognizing both the domestic repression and the external  manipulation risks oversimplifying the crisis. It is a conflict where authoritarian  brutality, legitimate dissent, and international interference intersect, creating a web  of violence, propaganda, and uncertainty 

What can we do? Human rights estimates indicate that prior to the latest wave of  protests, tens of thousands of political prisoners were already held in Iranian prisons,  and that an additional 20,000 people have been arrested during the recent  crackdown. These individuals face torture, forced confessions, and even execution.  Experience has shown that publicizing the names of prisoners can save lives. Figures  such as Varisheh Moradi, Pakhshan Azizi, Alireza Jalali, Toomaj Salehi,  Saman Yasin, Sepideh Gholian, Narges Mohammadi, Sharifeh Mohammadi,  Farhad Meysami, Hossein Ronaghi, Arash Sadeghi, and Reza Shahabi were

spared execution or disappearance largely due to sustained public and media  pressure. 

If there is only one thing that you can do for the people of Iran, it is this:  be the voice of detainees and political prisoners. 

References 

Le Figaro – Analysis on coordinated digital influence operations related to Iran

Haaretz – The Israeli Influence Operation in Iran Pushing to Reinstate the Shah  Monarchy (October 2025) 

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